Undoubtedly, the importance of an accurate, acceptable and reliable population and housing census cannot be over-emphasized. To ensure holistic
national development, an accurate census is very indispensable. The conduct of a census helps to generate demographic data for national planning
which in turn ensures even development of all sectors of the country. CHIBUZOR EMEJOR writes
One of the reasons for Nigeria’s under-development, according to experts, could be linked to outdated, inaccurate and sometimes lack of robust data for planning.
Speaking about the importance of the census, Dr. Hope Ikedinma, in a paper entitled, “The Impact of Census on National Development: An Appraisal of Nigerian Past Censuses,” observed that “In Nigeria, planning for socio-economic development has been adversely affected by the inadequacy, obsolescence and unreliability of available demographic data. Past national development plans in Nigeria have failed simply because of a lack of demographic data for planning. Demographic data derived from population censuses are useful to every government for planning.
“Planning for development without the most fundamental fact i.e. the number and characteristics of the people whose welfare is to be improved and those among this number who must work in all sectors of the economy to bring about the much-needed development is tantamount to groping in the dark.”
While underscoring the advantages of the census, the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), explained that the census “represents the entire statistical universe, down to the smallest geographical units, of a country or region. Planners need this information for all kinds of development work, including assessing demographic trends; analysing socio-economic conditions; designing evidence-based poverty-reduction strategies; monitoring and evaluating the effectiveness of policies; and tracking progress toward national and internationally agreed development goals.”
Given this, the National Population Commission led by its Executive Chairman, Nasir Isa Kwarra, swung into action as the Commission had begun preparations in earnest. It would be recalled that since Nigeria’s independence in 1960, all efforts at conducting a national census had met with serious challenges, as past censuses conducted in Nigeria had been mired in controversies as a cross-section of the country vehemently rejected the outcome of the census exercise.
In this direction, the NPC boss assured of the Commission’s irrevocable commitment to positively re-write the history of the census in Nigeria. At a media parley in Abuja, Kwarra revealed that cutting-edge technology would be deployed in the forthcoming 2023 Population and Housing Census to guarantee its credibility.
He said: “Over the years, the Commission has invested considerable time and resources in planning for the 2023 Population and Housing census by drawing from its rich institutional experience spanning two censuses and a pool of tested professionals to give the nation a truly digital and scientific census that will generate data for national planning within the context of our present realities. I am pleased to inform you all that the outcome of the preparatory activities for the 2023 Population and Housing census has been reassuring.”
Commenting further on the activities that have been carried out by the Commission in preparation for the Census, the Director of Public Affairs in NPC, Dr. Isiaka Yahaya, said, “The first preparatory activity for the 2023 Population and Housing Census was the Enumeration Area Demarcation (EAD) which the Commission implemented in phases on an incremental basis spanning over 8 years. The EAD involved the division of the 774 Local Government Areas of the country into Enumeration Areas. The Enumeration Area Demarcation was done digitally from 2014 to 2022.
“Major cost elements in the EAD project include the acquisition of high-resolution satellite imageries of entire land space of Nigeria and equipment, deployment of logistics across the country and training and deployment of tens of thousands of ad-hoc workers for several months to carry out the field operations.
“Another major cost element of the 2023 Census is the series of test runs carried out by the Commission to determine the appropriateness or otherwise of the methodology, processes and systems being put in place for the exercise. The Commission carried out an elaborate consultative process in designing a census questionnaire that responded to the country’s data needs for sustainable development.
“A series of workshops involving academia, professional bodies, civil society organisations and stakeholders was organised at the national and state levels between 2015 and 2017.
“The first pretest was conducted between 31st May 2021 and 13th June 2021 in the thirty-six states of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory while the second Pretest with larger coverage and broader objectives was conducted from November 24th to December 10th, 2021 also in the 36 states of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT). These test runs cost huge amounts of money in terms of training, deployment of personnel, and procurement of equipment and software.
“The Commission conducted a Trial Census in July 2022. The Trial Census was a dress rehearsal of the main census and was conducted to assess the overall preparedness for the conduct of the 2023 Census and it took place in all 36 states of the federation and the FCT with over 13,000 personnel trained, deployed and paid allowances for the training and fieldwork for about one month.
“In addition to the procurement of computers, laptops, desktops, printers and solar power systems for the census, the Commission developed numerous soft wares not only for census operations but also to manage its processes.
“The software procured for the census includesCensuspad and CSentry for data collection, Azure Cloud Infrastructure for managing data storage, security and processing and Environmental Systems Research Institute (ESRI) geospatial data for integration, analysis and utilisation. In recognition of its work in the 2023 Census EAD, the Commission received the Special Achievement in GIS (SAG) award at the 2022 Users Conference of ESRI held at its headquarters, in California, United States. ESRI is the World’s Leading Developer of GIS Software.
“Other software acquired include Enumeration Dashboard for monitoring of data quality and coverage Geo spatial dashboard, recruitment portal, logistics management information system and Mobile Device Monitoring System. The most significant hardware for the 2023 Census is the Personal Digital Assistant (PDA) or tablets to be used for data collection and transmission during the census.
“The Commission procured a total of 810,000 PDAs for the 2023 Census. Given this huge number, the item was procured in phases and a significant proportion of these mini-computers have been procured, configured, and now stored in all the Central Bank Offices across the country. For a census project that has been described next to war in terms of mobilisation of human and material resources, the movement of personnel across the length and breadth of the country will definitely constitute a major cost element.
“The Commission procured vehicles, motorcycles and boats for the movement of personnel and equipment across the length and breadth of the country. This was done along with the renovation and equipping of all 37 states and 774 Local Government offices for effective operational activities and storage for the 2023 Census. Conducting a digital census requires a constant supply of electricity not only in the cities but also in the hinterland and hard-to-reach areas of the country for charging PDAs and other equipment. Given the epileptic nature of the power supply across the country, the Commission procured generators, power banks and install solar power systems across the country.
“The Commission had trained about 62,000 facilitators across the country who will in turn train about 850,000 Supervisors and Enumerators for the Census exercise. In all these preparations, the NPC chairman acknowledged that over N200 billion had been expended over nine years in preparation for the population and housing census.
However, after all the preparations, former President Buhari postponed the conduct of the 2023 Population and Housing Census, earlier scheduled for 3-7 May 2023, to a date to be determined by President Bola Tinubu’s administration.
In light of all these expenditures and preparations made by the Commission, many well-meaning Nigerians and bodies such as traditional and religious leaders, civil society organisations, policymakers, development partners, academia and the media have made a clarion call to President Ahmed Bola Tinubu, to as a matter of urgency, prioritise the conduct of population and housing census in 2023 for evidence-based demographic data for planning and national development.